Tuesday, September 8, 2015

Draft Review 2015

It's time to look at the first few rounds of our draft again. Remember when we looked at the relative worth of acquiring first and second rounders? Well, here it is, "Early Round Wheeling and Dealing." The conclusion was: don't know! What we do know is that last year's first round was a total disaster, at least for the first few picks.

I can't see exactly who was picked where -- I've rectified that this year by copying CBS' info over to our spreadsheet -- but here were the first seven picks in 2014: Brandin Cooks, Sammy Watkins, Philip Rivers, Jeremy Maclin, Toby Gerhart, Carlos Hyde, and Bishop Sankey. Ouchies. It was actually better to grab the likes of Golden Tate or T.Y. Hilton later on in the round. And it's not like the 2013 draft was much better, with at least 50% flameouts early on. So, let's take a look at 2015 shall we? [Draft Review 2014 | 2013]

ROUND ONE
Hungry Ouroboros bold move for the number one overall selection turned into Todd Gurley, the next Adrian Peterson, albeit with a bum knee. It’ll be interesting if he’ll be able to outplay his fellow rookie running backs over the next few years, or if he becomes an injury hobbled waste of a first pick. Top rookie wideout Amari Cooper went next to P Funk All Stars, and let’s hope he’s better than Tavon Austin, Paolo’s last #2 overall rookie wide receiver.

There was a lot of talk that Melvin Gordon could go #1 based on his opportunities, his skill set, and San Diego being Jon’s hometown, but Jon dislikes all Chargers on principle (“they’re chokers!”) and Gordon went to Ann Arbor Bamfers at 1.3, which means he’ll learn under the tutelage of Frank Gore and CJ Spiller.

And at 1.4, Detroit Players traded down and still got their man, the electric Ameer Abdullah. “Finally, I can cheer for my home team again,” Felipe was heard to exclaim. Overall, six of the first seven picks were rookies, with only Squirtle Squad’s Lamar Miller at 1.5. Right after Miller went Nelson Agholor (Bamfers), Tevin Coleman (Stallionz), and Duke Johnson (Pooh Bears).

As always, Pooh Bears had plenty of picks, and he got two Johnsons back-to-back — Duke and Charles (1.9). Our defending champs, Original Salt, must not believe in Big Ben’s ability to stay healthy as he scooped up Teddy Bridgewater right afterwards. Aside from Devin Funchess at 1.13 to Stallionz, it was a fire sale on running backs after Original Salt’s pick, with rookie TJ Yeldon (Another Bad Creation), Jonathan Stewart (Sweep the Leg Zabka), Alfred Blue (Shoguns of Harlem), and Chris Ivory (Pooh Bears’ third first-rounder) all flying off the board. Detroit Players cleaned up the first round with his second first-rounder, grabbing receiver Breshad Perriman, another rookie.

With the way RD1 picks tend to bust, we should start a side pool to see who can guess the best/worst ones! Right?

ROUND TWO
The second round was mostly about older receivers, with Original Salt and Pooh Bears each getting two: Brandon LaFell (2.7), Anquan Boldin (2.10) to Salt and Jason Witten (2.7), Steve Smith (2.8) to Bears. Victor Cruz also got a look, from Sweep the Leg Zabka at 2.12. [Ed. note: Here’s hoping Cruz has a horrible season, as I was forced to cut him from my keeper team. Although he had a fun cameo on Season 1 of Ballers.]

There was also a fair share of retread running backs and “maybe they’ll get a shot” guys. Tre Mason (2.2, Bamfers), Bishop Sankey (2.13, Warriors), Shane Vereen (2.14), and Danny Woodhead (2.16, both Jedi Knights). The first pick of the second round, P Funk All Stars’, is already out for eight weeks, as rookie running back David Cobb will take a seat on injured reserve. Ouch.

The two highly touted rookie quarterbacks went this round, as Jameis Winston (2.8) joins Detroit Players and will actually get a chance to start since Ariel's team was the only one without a QB keeper. On the other hand, Marcus Mariota (2.15) will become Matthew Stafford’s understudy for Italian Stallionz. We like the alliteration of "Matthew and Marcus" already!

Hungry Ouroboros seemingly auto-picked Rashad Jennings (2.5) but that’s actually who he wanted anyway. No, honestly! The most immediate upside guy from this round is John Brown, 2.6 to Pogiboys, as it’s being said that Brown’s the heir apparent to Larry Fitzgerald, and not Michael Floyd. Or maybe Cody Latimer (2.11, ABC) has something to say about that as he tried to become Wes Welker-lite in Denver.

If you’re counting at home, both Pooh Bears and Players had a bunch of RD1 and RD2 picks. For posterity, here they are: Duke Johnson (1.8), Charles Johnson (1.9), Chris Ivory (1.15), Jason Witten (2.7), Steve Smith (2.9) for Bears versus Ameer Abdullah (1.4), Breshad Perriman (1.16), Maxx Williams (2.3), Jameis Winston (2.8) for Players. Which group will turn out better?

ROUND THREE
Say hello to Cameltoe and Fockers as they join us for the 2015 draft! Both draft tight ends, as Cameltoe grabbed Julius Thomas (3.9) while Fockers lifted inevitably took Antonio Gates (3.15). A couple of quarterbacks were auto-picked, as Jay Cutler (3.2) and Philip Rivers (3.5) both went to Bamfers. It’s actually hard to argue those two picks since we don’t believe in Colin Kaepernick’s skills anymore. Still, three quarterbacks seem like overkill? Someone teach Randy how to queue players! Detroit Players also went all upside with auto-grab Sam Bradford (3.8) to compete with Jameis Winston on opening day.

And that’s not all the QBs drafted. Carson Palmer (3.7) will back up Cam Newton, Alex Smith (3.11) will game manage for Aaron Rodger’s two missed games this season, and Andy Dalton (3.12) will just hang out behind Eli Manning because Eli never misses games.

Blake Bortles (3.13) was going to get a chance to start for Pogiboys but now Tom Brady will come back after annihilating Roger Goodell in court. I bet Bortles feels <insert pun>. Shoguns of Harlem did grab intriguing prospect Tyrod Taylor (3.14) at the end of the round, and maybe he could learn a thing or two watching Tony Romo’s improvisational daring. Let’s just call RD3 the quarterback round as there were eight QBs selected, keeping with the quarterback heavy tradition in years past.

Also, can you believe that no defenses have been drafted through the first three rounds? In 2013 we saw a defense auto-picked in the first round, and 2014 had the the first defense selected at the end of the second round. Well, I’m happy to say that no defenses was picked at all until round four, great job guys! (Except for the two unnamed owners who kept Ravens and Texans DST. Like, seriously?)

You tell me if Devante Parker (3.1), David Johnson (3.3), Knile Davis (3.4), Stevie Johnson (3.6), Reggie Bush (3.10), and Eddie Royal (3.16) will pan out. Usually by round three it’s just reaching for anyone who will get some guaranteed playing time. Of those names, we like Bush to get some solid touches.

ROUND FOUR
Almost nobody drafted down here can be properly evaluated. I mean, where was Odell Beckham Jr. drafted last year? Undrafted? Take a look at RD4s of years past and it’s basically no-man’s land, with nary a solid starter in sight, much less a future keeper. Two DSTs went this round, as did the top kicker, Stephen Gostkowski (4.3), fittingly to Sweep the Leg. And double ouch, P Funk All Stars already lost rookie running back David Cobb, the first pick of the second round, and now Jonas Gray (4.1) has been released by the Patriots. Someone get Paolo to a doctor!

Anyone else of interest down here? We think Josh Hill could be a big get at 4.9 for Cameltoe, but it’s hard to tell if he was auto-drafted. Hill was projected at #3 TE in my magazine and I was hoping to steal him one round later, oh well. Maybe Terrance Williams (4.5) will break out for Warriors, or maybe an old vet like Pierre Garcon (4.12) is a better bet this far down. We’re swimming in the dark here, and this year’s RD4 seemed particular boring.

Lots more upside guys went in RD5 actually, with a whole bunch of young receiers flying off the boards. I mean, who is Jaelen Strong on the Texans? I’ve been watching Hard Knocks every week and never even heard of him! The only receiver to draft off that team, aside from DeAndre Hopkins should be breakout reality star Uzoma “EZ” Nwachukwu right? Actually, can I draft cornerback Charles James II as a running back? He’s amazing!

I guess that’s it, another draft in the books. Let’s see how many of these rookies pan out, and let’s hope Todd Gurley is the next Steven Jackson, or maybe the next Christian Okoye! Niiiiigeeeriiian Niiiightmare!

Thursday, September 3, 2015

Draft Trades 2015

I thought last year we had a lot of trades, seven pre-draft, but this year blows that total out of the water! Okay technically there were only four trades before the draft but in total there were ten between the pre-draft stuff and in-draft moves. And some huge names were changed! Let's take a look...

2015 Pre-Draft Trades:
  • #194: Hungry Ouroboros trade 2015 RD4 to Sweep the Zabka for Torrey Smith
  • #195: Hungry Ouroboros trade 2016 RD4 to Pooh Bears for Martellus Bennet
  • #196: Fockers trade 2015 RD1, 2015 RD2, 2016 RD1, 2017 RD2, 2018 RD3 to Pooh Bears for Dez Bryant and Davante Adams
  • #197: Detroit Players trade 2015 RD1 to Hungry Ouroboros for 2015 RD1, 2015 RD2 

Right before keeper declarations is always a tense time for the league. Who will sell off extra guys? What caliber of player will change hands? Two teams moved to enhance their keeper core, with Hungry Ouroboros trading a pair of RD4 picks for Torrey Smith and Martellus Bennett. GM Jon really swung for the fences there and sprung his team right from the bottom, well, right back to the bottom. Still, some pre-keeper moves were welcome to get the fantasy season started.

Then Fockers, last year’s Super Bowl losers came in huge with a gigantic trade for Dez Bryant and Davante Adams. We already talked about how Bryant will push Fockers to a top keeper core, but what about that gargantuan price: two firsts (2015, 2016), two seconds (2015, 2017), and a third (2018). Who will get the better of that deal? I guess we’ll find out at the end of the season to see if Fockers is flashing that Super Bowl bling! And let's keep in mind how well Fockers' last pre-draft mega-trade worked out for Hong, catapulting him on his current rise to the top.

And right before the final bell, as the draft was about to start, Hungry Ouroboros struck again, moving from their #4 overall slot all the way up to #1. Detroit Players won the 2015 lottery but evidently was willing to move down a few slots to get their guy. Rumors were that Ariel was happy with two of the top rookies and was more than happy to grab an extra high second rounder to move down. What did Jon do with that #1 pick? Read the draft review to find out!

2015 Draft Trades:
  • #198: Jedi Knights trade 2016 RD2, 2017 RD2 to Shoguns of Harlem for 2015 RD2
  • #199: Cameltoe trade 2016 RD2, 2018 RD1, 2019 RD1 to Mandalorian Warriors for CJ Anderson
  • #200: Pogiboys trade 2017 RD1, 2018 RD1, 2020 RD1 to Another Bad Creation for LeSean McCoy and 2018 RD4
  • #201: Italian Stallionz trade 2015 RD3 to Pogiboys for 2015 RD4, 2016 RD5
  • #202: Jedi Knights trade 2017 RD1, 2018 RD1, 2018 RD2, 2019 RD1 to Another Bad Creation for Marshawn Lynch
  • #203: Another Bad Creation trade 2017 RD5 to Pooh Bears for 2015 RD7, 2015 RD8, 2015 RD9, 2015 RD10

And if you thought the trade for one of the best receivers in the game, or for the number one overall pick, was exciting, look at what came next! A trio of super RBs were traded: Marshawn Lynch, LeSean McCoy, and CJ Anderson. Let’s start with that latter trade, as the blow-it-all-up Mandalorian Warriors moved a likely top ten back for two long-in-the-future firsts (2018, 2019) and a current second (2016). Why not earlier first rounders? Because GM Felipe already traded 2016 and 2017’s RD1 to 100 Acre Wood Bears! So, no joke, Team Cameltoe won’t be seeing a first rounder until 2020! This trade will give them a nice backfield partner for Doug Martin though, and it looked like Cameltoe was making a strong push for the division title.

But oh wait, a few moments later, Morrie’s Pogiboys struck back with a huge trade of their own, moving three first-rounders (2017, 2018, 2020) for the services of LeSean McCoy! That gave Alvin two top running backs in Eddie Lacy and McCoy, and put Pogiboys back into the driver seat for the newly named Moose Knuckle division. The games haven't even started yet and the competition is heating up!

And then a few days later, another bomb dropped as Another Bad Creation chose to cast off their other franchise running back, Marshawn Lynch, to Jedi Knights for three firsts (2017, 2018, 2019) and a second (2018). What was going on!?! Reached for comment after the moves that completely stripped his backfield, GM Oliver had this to say “I was getting bored of those guys. Marshawn, LeSean, it’s been real, but see ya!” We’re not sure how Aaron Rodgers felt about last year's 8-5 team getting wrecked like that, but we’re guessing he’s not too happy. It’s possible that Rodgers may find himself demanding a trade soon.

In sum, Another Bad Creation received six first-rounders and a second for his pair of top five-ish running backs. (Note: McCoy was acquired last mid-season in trade ID#189 for a first and a second, so that was a huge profit here.) We’re pretty sure ABC is headed for the bottom of the standings now, unless Joique Bell and whoever Oliver acquires during the draft is ready to shoulder the load. It'll be interesting to see what ABC gets with all those future picks though.

As for Jedi Knights, the team who ruled over all of Maize and Blue last season — well, in the regular season anyway — Lum will take this gift from his in-division rival and push all his chips in with Peyton Manning, Lynch, Alfred Morris, and the rest of his already strong keeper core. In the end, it looks like certain teams moved to get into/retain their contender status while two former champs decided to pull back and rebuild. (What's this we hear about Mandalorian Warriors also willing to move Drew Brees for the right price?...) And let's not forget our defending champs, Original Salt, who sat on the Maize and Blue throne and watched as all the little people positioned themselves to grovel at his feet...

Of course there were a number of smaller draft position trades too, but with the fireworks we just described, they're just not worth covering. So, let’s see what happens during our draft then and thanks for all the excitement guys! More trades, more trades!